Markets reacted on Friday to a sharp escalation in Middle East tensions. After years of covert conflict, Israel and Iran have entered open military confrontation. Israel targeted key Iranian nuclear and military facilities amid concerns over Iran’s advancing nuclear program. Iran responded with missile strikes on Tel Aviv, significantly heightening the stakes.
Despite the seriousness of the situation, broader market reactions were relatively contained. Asian and European share markets declined around 1%, while the US market fell just over 1%. The standout move was in oil — Brent crude ended the day more than 7% higher at $74 per barrel. Gold also rose 1.2% to a two-month high as investors briefly sought safe-haven assets.
Importantly, context matters. Oil prices remain more than 10% below levels from a year ago and well below the highs seen during the Ukraine conflict. Likewise, global share markets are still trading near all-time highs, meaning the recent declines are from elevated levels.
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